• 

• 

• 

Once more a big thank-you to all readers, helpers and everyone who has come up with ideas, or done lots of research, to help us in the last month

• 

• 

• 

Historians of the future, assuming any such will exist, will spend hours raking through the broken rubble of the western alliance and ask this: How did this group of nations, still fresh from victory in the Cold War, so quickly lose their power? When did their decline commence? They will point to many impersonal forces: economic, cultural, demographic perhaps. But they will know that at one point, as always, a group of men sat around a table and came up with some bad – no, really bad – decisions that changed everything for all time. And Donald Rumsfeld was right in the middle of such a group of men.

The Iraq Invasion of 2003 was a decision so monumentally awful that its consequences cannot be summarised in one tiny blog. Suffice that it wasted trillions in money and thousands of lives. It threw down Iraq and raised up Iran – a dreadful exchange. Far from concluding the daftly named “War on Terror”, it exalted such groups as ISIS and Al-Queda, who would go on to unprecedented achievements of atrocity and bloodshed. Above all it legitimised dictators everywhere to conclude that there was no new rules-based order. That if the US and its allies could invade anyone they jolly well didn’t like, so could anyone else. The sauce was the same for goose and gander.

As the reading of the links below will show, Rumsfeld committed the primary error of proud people everywhere. He felt that his will could be be made real if he only tried hard enough, and that he had no need of the advice of others. Not one. Not his intelligence people, not his senior commanders (whom he seems to have brought close to mutiny), nor his wiser allies inside the Republican Party and abroad. He was not alone; the whole Bush Administration and its media cheerleaders blundered into Iraq. But there he stood among them – proud, confident, knowing – and utterly wrong.

The benign world that existed before the Iraq invasion has vanished. The planet is once more divided into hostile, lethally-armed camps. Great problems such as climate change and epidemic disease seem as far as ever from solution, with all their conflict-generating potential. And while far from alone, the decisions and influence of Donald Rumsfeld did as much as any to push us all down this slope.

Media coverage of Rumsfeld has been so widespread that can only select a few examples, and one book

For an unforgiving take try Julian Borger of the Guardian

History unlikely to forgive Donald Rumsfeld’s Iraq warmongering | Donald Rumsfeld | The Guardian

Daniel McCarthy of the Australian Spectator tries to balance Rumsfeld’s goods and bads

Donald Rumsfeld succeeded at everything — so why did he fail in the end? | The Spectator Australia

For a really good book on the whole sorry mess try

James Bluemel and Renad Mansour Once Upon a Time in In Iraq BBC 2020

#iraq #invasion2003 #georgewbush #donaldrumsfeld #foxnews #sunni #shia #iran #terrorism

• 

• 

• 

The legacy of the British Empire lives on in passion. For some the British in India were a noble species who brought justice enlightenment and technology, A bit like those oddly benign aliens who popped up in the old Star Trek TV series, advertising their superiority and admonishing earthmen and others to mend their ways. For many Indians they were invaders, devoted to plunder, rapine and oppression-think Clingons if Star Trek is your thing.

The truth, like all truths, is subtle, complex and requires a very great deal of thought. But Amartya Sen, writing for the Guardian, makes a very fair stab at it. Rather than balancing the feel good sensibilities of the warring parties he goes for facts, salient ones, and some are interesting indeed. That before the British there was no country called India is hard to dispute. Yet the example of what Japan achieved without white rulers is a telling counterfactual for the Indian narrative.

Seventy-four years after India achieved its freedom, does any of this matter? In England, yes. Memories of a time when white Brits were effortlessly above darker types resonate strongly in the crowded housing estates and contested streets of the former power. They inform decisions on so much-constitutionally, electorally and culturally. And racism is never a one way street.

Whatever India is now and may become-and that could be much- it cannot forget one long ago but vital aspect of its being. History is a sort of by product, thrown out by nations as they move along. In the hands of authors like Sen, it is intelligent, fair and just.

Illusions of empire: Amartya Sen on what British rule really did for India | India | The Guardian

#raj #india #britain #britishempire #woke

• 

• 

• 

“If we can catch it in time, we can cure almost anything.” So a Doctor once told LSS, and we believed her. The problem with cancers is that they can grow undetected for months, even years in some cases, and by the time that they are found, it’s too late- or treatment is incredibly intrusive. Now a US company called Grail has developed a marvellous new test which can identify up to 50 types of cancer long before any symptoms whatsoever have manifested themselves. They idea is rather clever. All living masses, tumours included, will shed little bits of DNA. Like criminals at a crime scene, this gives away their identity. So the grail test looks for little fragments of giveaway DNA in the blood.

We’ve got a press story from the PA via the Mail for you*1 plus a link to the Grail company website. *2They are an impressive bunch, and once again we have to admire their intelligence and hard work. And there’s a deeper story here, one that separates out intelligent people like the LSS reading community from other types of person one encounters on the internet. Because we know how Grail did it. They looked for evidence, built a theory and when new evidence came along they abandoned the theory and tried a new one which fitted their facts better. Eventually something worked, and we are all a little bit safer from cancer.

Conspiracy communities and those based solely on faith do the opposite. They start from one central idea, fit all the facts around it, and never ever think about new data. They have already made up their minds. Their only response to difficult new data is to shout and scream. The trouble is that just shouting at cancer won’t make it go away.

The task for intelligent people is to preserve areas of enquiry and reason. That way, there will still be cures for cancer and many other things, in the future.

Blood test to detect 50 types of cancer `accurate… | Daily Mail Online

Home | GRAIL

#cancer #screen #dna #grail #detection #prevention

• 

• 

• 

One of the depressing things about our current plight is how complicated it all is. Over here is all the waste we produce. Over there-global warming and energy production. In the middle, ordinary people wanting a better life, and at the same time, wanting to do the right thing.

Take electric cars. They’re a lot less polluting, quieter and cheaper to run than the old petrol ones. But there’s a real environmental cost to producing the batteries. Most of us are seeing a gradual and worthy uptake in these new vehicles. But before you rush round to your nearest Rolls Royce dealer, does this current craze have a serious rival? What if we could power clean green motors and get rid of some of the mountains of filthy waste which disfigure the planet?

We’ve posted three takes on hydrogen today-all based on the idea of its use in fuel cells, those almost miraculously simple devices which produce nothing worse than a little water after combustion. In AutoExpress Martin Saarinen *1 has a nicely balanced menu of pros and cons which should give some pause for thought. Especially for anyone about to unleash major damage to their bank account with a new vehicle. Molly Burgess of H2 News *2 reports of some exciting British companies who hope to use waste to generate hydrogen. (LSS finds the first English plant to this purpose is already planned) And for all you scholars the US Department Of Energy *3 has a nice summary of all the ways that H₂, the lightest gas can be run up in quantity.

But has hydrogen got off to a late start? A little digging showed LSS that there are 35000 electric charge points in the UK and 8 380 Petrol stations, no less. If hydrogen has a future, if must replace the latter, while competing with the former. At which point we remember the wise thoughts of that brilliant journalist James May. Although we cannot find the precise reference,. we remember him explaining how electric cars almost strangled petrol ones at birth in the years 1910-1920. Petrol only won because there were no national grids, so it was easier to build and supply filling stations. The UK hydrogen hopefuls we alluded to above plan to have 800 stations by 2027 and 2000 by 2030. By which time electric may have already won the marketing battle. Remember VHS v Betamax? It’s a cautionary tale.

^{We thank Mr Gary Herbert of Buckinghamshire for the idea and research for this blog}

40 waste-to-hydrogen refuelling stations planned for the UK (h2-view.com) *2

Alternative Fuels Data Center: Hydrogen Production and Distribution (energy.gov) *3

Hydrogen fuel cells: do hydrogen cars have a future? | Auto Express*1

#fuelcells #hydrogen #electriccars #wasteenergy #transport

• 

• 

• 

Our weekly look at some stories which seemed significant

It’s been a big week for fans of Paleoanthropology, with help coming from many areas of science and the world all at once. Best of all is the Dragon man from China, and you can read the fascinating story of its discovery, hiding and re-discovery here, in a beautifully illustrated piece by Anthony Sinclair for the Conversation, It’s been called Homo longi by the scientific team. But we can’t help wondering-is this what the Denisovans looked like?

https://theconversation.com/homo-longi-extinct-human-species-that-may-replace-neanderthals-as-our-closest-relatives-found-in-china-163328?utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=The%20Weekend%2

Condominium Cave

Talking of Denisovans,it looks like the cave where the original specimens came from had different types of humans living in it at different times, as exciting new DNA studies show. But how different? Everything points to several large brained modern types of humans running around since at least 500 000 years ago. Can they all really be different species? Or are we looking at one pretty successful species that was rather variable? Certainly they all seem to have been interbreeding like mad, the ur-definition of a single species Here’s Nature, Iconic Cave sheltered several human species

In the past decade, a mere eight human fossils unearthed in the Denisova Cave in southern Siberia have rewritten the human story, from the tiny finger bone that revealed the extinct human Denisovans, to the discovery of a first-generation Neanderthal–Denisovan hybrid. Now a study of DNA in the cave’s soil reveals the complex history of human and animal habitation there. Hundreds of soil samples show a cycle of inhabitants, starting with Denisovans about 300,000 years ago. Different groups of Denisovans and Neanderthals left their marks on the cave, and modern humans appeared about 45,000 years ago. “I cannot think of another site where three human species lived through time,” says archaeological scientist Katerina Douka.Science | 5 min read
Read more: Lead researcher Elena Zavala tells the suspenseful first-hand tale of the discovery in an essay for the Nature Ecology & Evolution Community blog.
Reference: Nature paper

It’s all stories anyway Names that we put on old bones are just labels on a reality that was far more complex. And this is true for modern history too, as this discussion of the famous Alamo siege tells. Who were the good guys and bad guys really, ask Bryan Burrough and Jason Stanford of Time

It’s Time to Correct the Myths About the Battle of Alamo | Time

^{we thank Mr Peter Seymour of Hertfordshire for this story}

Weekend Spoiler Just because of the big COP26 conference coming up, don’t think your worries about climate change are over. LSS admits a start has been made, but much of the heavy lifting remains to be done, as Nature points out, Leaked report sends dire climate warning:

The next Intergovernmental Panel of Climate Change (IPCC) report will deliver an unprecedented climate-change wake-up call, reports the AFP news agency. The leaked draft report, due to be released next year, says that global temperatures are already at 1.1 ℃ above levels in the mid-nineteenth century. Even if we meet the Paris climate agreement target of keeping temperatures below 1.5 ℃, “conditions will change beyond many organisms’ ability to adapt”. And if we continue on current trends, we are headed to break 3 ℃ — with serious, irreversible consequences. “The worst is yet to come, affecting our children’s and grandchildren’s lives much more than our own,” the draft report states. “We need transformational change operating on processes and behaviours at all levels.”AFP | 5 min read

HOME – UN Climate Change Conference (COP26) at the SEC – Glasgow 2021 (ukcop26.org)

There’s more to it than IQ The endless obsession with IQ and cleverness may have been masking something else. Flexibility, creativity and adaptability may be more important, as this study by Barbara Sahakian and colleagues for the Conversation shows.

https://theconversation.com/iq-tests-cant-measure-it-but-cognitive-flexibility-is-key-to-learning-and-creativity-163284?utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=Latest%20from%20The%20Conversa

Our view has always been-IQ tests are always so boring, why would anyone want to try at them? That’s why we treat the results with suspicion. See you Monday

#modernhumans #denisovans #neanderthals #dna #homosapiens #climatechange #IQ #cognition

• 

• 

• 

Monday sees the return of the world-famous tennis tournament to the world-famous All England Lawn Tennis and Croquet Club at Wimbledon, or WMBDN as London Transport used to call it. It’s going to be harder than ever to get tickets for this year’s men’s final. So for the unlucky few of our readers who won’t make that auspicious date, here are a couple of cocktail ideas to drown your sorrows while you watch it on the telly in the summerhouse. And to give it a theme, we have chosen that most Wimbledon of all fruits, the strawberry (if you don’t know what one of those is, see central illustration above). Also, if you are going to try mixing these at home, make sure your lorry driver has some on his trailer-if you can find a lorry driver, that is.

Strawberry Daiquiri-Cool and smooth

Put lots of cracked ice in a well-chilled margarita glass. Now take a blender and add 1 measure white rum, 1/2 measure strawberry liqueur, and 1/2 measure of lime cordial. Blend for 30 seconds then pour over the cracked ice. Decorate with powdered sugar and a slice of strawberry-if you can get it to stay on. Now sit back and watch them toiling in the summer heat, and be glad you’re not mixed up with the racquets. You could end up in court!

_{Thanks to The Ultimate Cocktail Book (Hamlyn) for this idea}

Strawberry Cup– Refreshing and sociable

_{This recipe from The Bartender’s Guide by Peter Bohrman, is designed to slake thirsts at group events like garden parties}

Take 0.6803885 kg of strawberries, and take out those irritating green bits at the blunt end. What are they doing there anyway? we ask. Now cut the strawberries up into lumps, but not too small. and gently introduce them to a punchbowl. Add 3.5 measures of strawberry liqueur, and pop the lot into a cold refrigerator for 45 minutes. On removal add 2 bottles of white wine-Chablis is a good bet-and two bottles of well chilled champagne. Pack ice around your bowl, and serve with silver ladle to flute glasses. Note-the key to this is to keep it cold, so if you can find a way to pack some ice around the punchbowl, feel free to try it. Ms RS of Southend suggests blu-tack but somehow we don’t think it’s a good idea.

Pimm’s -from last week!

Take one measure of Pimm’s No.1 Cup and and add to a highball glass. (Ours have real Pimms logos!) Add 3-4 ice cubes, then 2 slices of lemon, two slices of orange and one chopped strawberry and one slice of cucumber. Top up with lemonade and decorate with a sprig of mint or borage We had to repeat this, folks-it’s got more Wimbledon than South West Trains.

Home – The Championships, Wimbledon 2021 – Official Site by IBM

#wimbledon #tennis #pimms #strawberries #champagne #whitewine

• 

• 

• 

Is the world about to enter an era when pandemics become the new normal, meaning Covid-19 was just the curtain raiser to a newer, grimmer era? We cannot be certain, but it has happened before.

When the Emperor Marcus Aurelius (161-180 AD) succeeded to the throne of Rome, he inherited a world that had had known nothing but peace and growing prosperity for generations. Under the benign rule of Rome, trade prospered, cities flourished and the arts, learning and mass sports were cultivated. In 165 all this changed forever. A new and terrible plague, probably smallpox, tore its way through the Empire. The population fell, at least by 20%. The currency weakened, trade fell and production dwindled. Most ominously the Roman Army was no longer all conquering and invincible, and barbarian tribes started to press into the Empire.

Marcus was an able man, and somehow managed to save things-just. But as Professor Harper shows, this was only the first of many pandemics that ravaged the advanced civilisation of Rome. Smallpox returned in the reign of Marcus’ degenerate son Commodus. Then, following a few fleeting years of recovery, the terrible plague of Cyprian struck around 249 AD. An Ebola-like virus which caused terrible suffering, its mortality seems to have been greater than smallpox, and Harper shows that its demographic and economic consequences were never recuperated. The Eastern rump of the Empire was essentially finished by the great plague of Justinian in the sixth century. World power shifted to the Moslem nations not long afterwards.

What caused these sudden upswings is not certain though Harper makes a strong circumstantial case for climate change and ecological in-balances in animal populations that harboured the viruses. What worries us at LSS is how familiar this seems. The easy peace and prosperity of the nineteen nineties has long passed. Since 2000 outbreaks of diseases like SARS, MERS and Ebola have become frequent. Until recently these were contained. But Covid-19 is very much the genie that got out of the lamp. As the relentless destruction of habitat continues, more pathogens will escape from wild hosts like bats and cross the species barrier. We have already alluded to the dangers of antibiotic resistant microbes and the influenza family of viruses. There will be others. And never forget that certain nations ruled by ageing autocrats will be holding stockpiles of biological weapons, with virus derivatives more terrible than anything in nature. As their regimes crumble, who is to say they will not release them in a last desperate attempt to cling to power?

It was in the reign of Marcus that the citizens of Rome saw the first shadows fall of the new darker age. It was to last for centuries. Are we in a similar place?

Kyle Harper The Fate of Rome: Climate, Disease and the end of Empire: Princeton University Press 2017

#pandemic #ebola #sars-cov-2 #covid-19 #biological warfare #ecologicalcatastrophe #sars #mers #antibiotic resistance

• 

• 

• 

“Oh no,” we hear you groan ” not another gloomy LSS post, telling us off for our failings!” a regular refrain from readers as we berate you for not doing enough on antibiotics/global warming/education or even generally sprucing up and improving your moral outlook. Or saying how bad everything’s getting. You know.

Well that means its time for a good fun story about a real success. Tigers are not just emblematic animals (they regularly top polls for world’s favourite animal) but their existence guarantees the survival of vast, carbon swallowing forests such as in the Himalayas or the Sundarbans. We all know that their population has been in freefall since the start of the last century. Now it seems that valiant efforts to preserve wild populations are at last succeeding. No organisation has done more to achieve this than the World Wide Fund for Nature and today we link to their latest magazine. Of course we highlight the article Bringing Back the Roar by Mike Unwin, but the whole thing is an easy hit of good positive stories and great pictures from around the globe.

Tigers are nor saved yet, but many of the problems are now those of success, like integrating wild tigers with people and linking up parks and habitats. There are some big hitters on board including the World Bank and Vladimir Putin, no less, who will chair a big conference in Vladivostok on “next steps” in 2022. We have asked you to put your hands in your pockets before, but if there is one outfit that’s truly on the side of the angles, it has to be WWF. And remember-saving wild habitats actually saves you, in the long run.

Action-Mag-Summer-2021.pdf (wwf.org.uk)

#tigers #habitat #wwf #vladimirputin #worldbank #conservation #himalayas #forests

• 

• 

• 

Here’s some stories that intrigued us and might add to your reading, in between football matches of course.

Ten Best Places to look for life When we were young, the possibility of extra terrestrial life in the solar system was sneered at. Now opinion is swinging the other way. Astrobiologists with a strong interest in betting will love the odds on this survey by Neev V Patel of MIT technology Review, via Nature of course!

Finding life in the Solar System isn’t just about how likely life is to exist — it’s about how easy it would be to spot it. Space journalist Neel V. Patel offers his ranking of the 10 best places in our stellar neighbourhood to look for extraterrestrial life.Technology Review | 11 min read

The best places to find extraterrestrial life in our solar system, ranked | MIT Technology Review

When the rivers run dry Drought could be a really big consequence of runaway climate change. The problem will be mass migration from devastated lands. Here’s two stories from the Guardian, but most outlets are picking up on this one at last. Fiona Harvey looks at the global problem, and a leader is devoted to some brilliant reporting on how it’s playing out in the one region: The American Southwest.

‘The next pandemic’: drought is a hidden global crisis, UN says | Drought | The Guardian

The drought in US south-west is the worst in 1,200 years. It might be here to stay | Kim Heacox | The Guardian

Teaching Life Skills One of the things about having a garden is that it teaches you life skills. A day in the garden will require planning: What really needs doing and what can I better leave until next week? Organisation: where shall I put my tools so that I can find them? (the alternative is hours looking for a hoe) That things sometimes go wrong– Yes, I took down that oak tree well, but what cruel fate made it crash through the greenhouse? And how do I explain that to my wife? We think teaching practical skills to children at an early age will equip them to become better laboratory workers and managers later. Teachers, we offer you some ideas from Thought.co website, just as a starting point

Ideas for Teaching Life Skills in School (thoughtco.com)

That’s it for the week. We’re off to enjoy the one on outer space, before the next bout of the Euros kicks in. Enjoy your weekend too.

#seti #astrobiology #climatechange #globalwarming #drought #education #lifeskills