Mobile Crisis Construction-a truly ingenious solution to an age-old problem

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Have you ever wondered what happens at a disaster scene or a battlefield after the cameras are turned off and the media circus has rolled on elsewhere? Do all those mounds of rubble and broken buildings suddenly disappear? Do all those dreadfully traumatised survivors go home to a nice cup of tea? You know as well as we do that the physical damage of war can take years, decades sometimes, to clear up. Which means a lot of people could be homeless or living in primitive tents and shanties for a very, very long time.

Until now. Because our researchers, bless them have come across a truly remarkable charity called Mobile Crisis Construction.[1] Who saw the need to provide solid, decent and healthy homes for all these pitiful victims as soon as possible. And what struck us here at LSS, humble researchers and Senior Management alike, was the astute simplicity with which they have gone about it. “You’ve got all that debris at the site”, they reasoned” all that broken brick, glass, etc. That’s not rubbish, that’s a raw material, mate!” So the first thing they do is move in a special mill which crushes it all up into a useable powder. Next the powder is put into a special oven and baked, on site, into bricks. Not just any bricks but ones with special grooves and sticky out bits on them so that anyone can run up a decent wall-after a bit of training of course. Their website is a trove of impressive statistics but here’s one for starters: they estimate that they can knock out enough bricks to create one school, or five large houses in a week[2]

Now gentle readers, we guess you have already spotted the true genius in their idea. No more supply chains! No more lorries carrying all those materials, skilled labourers and all the bureaucracy and red tape that goes with it. Instead, they take the factories to the site. You know we love inspired new solutions to ancient problems here (LSS passim). But this surely has to be one of the simplest and best so far? We wish this new venture every success and we hope you will too. Because all the suffering people of the world deserve something better.

[1]https://www.crisisconstruction.com/about-us/

[2]https://crisisconstruction.org/solutions/rapid-response-construction/

#war #refugees #construction #aid #housing #bricks #building #emergency

Heroes of Learning: Svante Pääbo

It’s hard to remember how different human evolution was before Svante Pääbo and his transformative discoveries in genetics. There were some bones, but they were bit few and fragmentary. People argued interminably over them like so many medieval nominalists and realists. There were tools, and heroic studies of the scratches thereon. People spent lifetimes following various primates in and out of the rain forest: but it is hard to say whether a chimpanzee is really like a human ancestor, or a baboon is : or is not.

Then in 1997 at the Max Planck Institute in Leipzig, Svante Paabo announced a breakthrough: the actual DNA from inside the mitochondrion of a real (dead) neanderthal. For the very first time here was something tangible, data rich, and available for statistical scrutiny. Now we knew who we were, and who they were. As if that were not enough, in 2009 his team announced a whole Neanderthal genome. Then came immortality: on the floor of a cave in distant Siberia came a tiny bone which Pääbo showed to be a third type of human: the Denisovans. The utter. twisted, anastomosing complexity of the modern human story became clear: and with it the implication that it had always been thus. Giving him the Nobel Prize in 2022 must have been the easiest decision since that monkey in 2001: a space odyssey thought a horse skull might be a good place to land a good thwack.

But the real significance of Svante Pääbo lies deeper. It’s in the observable phenomenon that every so often some genius comes along and turns a field upside down. That every debate, however heated and angry, will one day become futile as more gets found out. It’s like that in all sciences, and a good many non sciences too. The biggest mistake any of us can make is to think we have all the answers. Thanks Svante Pääbo for showing there’s always something new around every corner.

[1]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Svante_P%C3%A4%C3%A4bo

#genome #dna #human #neanderthal #anthropology #evolution science

Fear, despair and loathing as the last drops of 20th Century Politics drain away

If ever there was a journalist whom we have learned to take seriously, it is John Harris of the Guardian. He it was, along with film-maker John Domokos , who first went round the people in the heartlands of Britain in the 2010s. And thereby revealed the depths of bewilderment, rage and despair that now lurk ubiquitously just below the surface of our national life. “Anywhere but Westminster” they called their work, revealing the deep cleavage between the formal politics of governance and the real feelings of most voters. His article which we riff on for you today, gentle readers is a neuralgically painful contrast between the increasingly empty rituals of the nation’s leaders and an ever more bloody-minded and fractious populace. [1]

Being a thoughtful sort of chap, Harris goes deeper. suggesting that this explains the sudden rise in the fortunes of formerly small parties such as the Greens, Reform, Plaid Cymru and the others. And the agonising decline in the fortunes of those two stalwarts of 20th Century British politics, the Conservative and Labour Parties. He cites the obvious causes- a stagnated economy, changing identities and “the failures of the various administrations that have run the UK since 2008” And this:

The essential point was made a few days before Reeves’s speech by Luke Tryl, the UK director of the thinktank and research organisation More In Common, and someone with an incisive understanding of where we have arrived. “I still don’t think enough people realise how much traditional mainstream politics is in the last chance saloon, in no small part because it can’t be trusted to deliver what it promises,” he said on X.

Why has every single administration failed to deliver the things people want? Governments in the last century used to deliver quite acceptable levels of health, defence, housing and so on.. Here we move beyond Harris (we never put words in others’ mouths) to our own speculations, touched on in our blog Pity poor Rachel Reeves, LSS 23 10 25, and earlier ones in this vein. Remember how we said every nation state, even the richest, are plagued with such debts and poor economies that they no longer have any room to seriously mitigate the lives of their citizens? That the combined weight of investment capital, expressing its power in things like bond and currency markets, could stymie the efforts of any finance minister? Could it therefore be that the Nation State, which has hitherto served us so successfully, is no longer an effective vehicle to manage the the lives of its citizens? It is a terrifying conjecture: for we have no idea of what may replace it. But one thing we do remember: read everything you can lay your hands on about the collapse of Yugoslavia, and what followed.

[1] https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2025/nov/09/21st-century-politics-labour-tories-turbulence-green-party-reform

#nation #country #politics #governance #finance #currency market #bond market #populism

Steve Schifferes Part 2: where the next crash might come from-and the chilling consequences

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Our earnest recommendation of the second part of Steve Schirreres’ excellent diptych of articles for The Conversation

As Britain declined after world war one, no other power replaced it with the necessary financial, military and cultural power necessary to avert the political and financial instability that followed. The result was revolution, boom, crash and depression, leading rapidly to the Second World War. “Ah!” we hear you say, “Ah! That could never happen again. Look for example how well the world did to wriggle out of the consequences of the financial crash of 2007-2008!” But that, gentle readers, is to beg the question. For back in those days the world had two shots in its locker which are now fully fired. First, a spirit of co-operation among the great powers which let them co-ordinate rescue plans quickly: and the trust to make them stick. (Schifferes is rather good on this, having had a ringside seat) Now Mr Trump has declared that he will only ever consult American national interest. He may have valid domestic reasons for taking this line; but it will make any recovery from a future recession very much harder indeed.

Secondly, the America of those days still had deep and unrivalled capital markets, which enabled its Federal Reserve to act as a lender of last resort to the whole world. And this is where Schifferes gets really interesting. Firstly he details deep worries about the long term stability the US Bond market and the dollar. Remember- a hegemon needs both bonds and a currency to ensure global stability. Combine this with the threats to the US Stock market( a concern to many commentators at the time of writing) and you have not only the elements for a perfect storm, but no obvious lifeboat to climb into when it strikes.

If you want to know how the world really works, and get some glimpse of where it might be heading, then these articles are a must read. And remember- next time you get cross because the train is late, or service slow in your local restaurant: these troubles may be slight compared to what is coming down the line.

[1]https://theconversation.com/the-rise-and-fall-of-globalisation-why-the-worlds-next-financial-meltdown-could-be-much-worse-with-the-us-on-the-sidelines-267920?utm_medium=email&utm_campaig

#economics #history #US Bonds #dollar #trade #globalisation

Is Globalisation over? Steve Schifferes worries what comes next

Recently the residents of the Canadian State of Ontario irritated US President Donald Trump by running a series of TV ads showing former President Ronald Reagan disparaging trade tariffs,. Why would such hero of the global Right have taken such a heterodox view? The answer is that Reagan thought that free trade was the best way to distribute prosperity as widely as possible. Under the hegemonic power of the United States of America of course. And he had good evidence for this belief, as Steve Schifferes makes clear in this article for the Conversation.

Schifferes is such a good writer. His sentences are always short and to the point, He keeps away from jargon. Which clarity allows him to range over the last 400 years or so of history tracking the rise and fall of the various powers-China, France, The Netherlands, Britain the USA all of whom aspired to the hegemonic position in world affairs. In the first of two such called The Rise and Fall of Globalisation: the battle to be top dog he comes to one overarching conclusion. Things go better, and the world grows when there is one such dog. The period of British dominance , roughly 1815-1914 was marked by ever closer union of world markets and ever greater flows of capital and people. The American hegemon, roughly lasting from 1944 to 2016 was a second such example. The great problem for the world was that, as Britain stepped down in 1918, the USA did not step up to the plate. Leading to two decades of deep economic and international stability that culminated in the most destructive war in History. This one we shall urge you to read, gentle readers. It not only describes, it explains.

And now? Populists everywhere not only proclaim that globalisation is dead, they actively seek to undermine it wherever possible. Tariffs, restrictions on free movement of goods and people, hostility to learning and science-all indicate the flow of history is one way. Yet populist nationalists can point to one overarching weakness in the globalists argument. The whole system when it worked, depended on the successful nationalism of one nation,the hegemonic power. Their nationalism was a good thing. From which many concluded “if nationalism is a good thing, we want some of it too.” So as the hegemon declines, as America now does precipitously, they will assert their own nationalisms more and more. World war Three anyone?

[1]https://theconversation.com/the-rise-and-fall-of-globalisation-the-battle-to-be-top-dog-267910

#steve sciffereres #history #economics #trade #USA #war #globalisation

Nobel Prize for Economics shows this blog was right all along

Back in the dark days of January 2021, when the world economy was reeling from the savage hit of the COVID-19 pandemic, we published a short blog called How to Get some Free Money(LSS 2 1 21) Everyone at that time was worried about the colossal debts their governments had run up to pay for the catastrophe-were we all to be bankrupt for ever? Our point was that Science and Technology were the key to economic success. Encourage them. and you will grow your way out of debt. However hard a medieval peasant worked and saved he could never hope to achieve the productive levels of a man with a steam driven plough.

How comforting then, to find that better, more profound minds have demonstrated this truth at a Nobel level. By incredibly detailed studies Joel Mokyr, Phillipe Aghion and Peter Howitt [1] have looked at archives, crunched the numbers, weaved out feedback loops and carried out any number of other careful ratiocinations to prove the point. You can read more here [2] if you like graphs and words and things. But for us three things stand out.

There has to be abstract learning first. Many of the ideas and processes that drove the industrial revolution had appeared a hundred years before as the abstruse discoveries of thinkers like Newton and Hooke, which the average man in the street would have called “bonkers!”. There has to be a social ecology of skilled and trained workers, able to quickly deploy and develop the new ideas. In the eighteenth century this meant craftsmen like watchmakers and weavers. Now it means experts in AI and biotechnology. Finally a society must be open to rapid change: and welcome it where possible. For if you do not, someone will rapidly steal your markets with a new idea you could have developed but didn’t, because the old ways were tied and tested(think Kodak and digital cameras) [3]

All of which has relevance now, especially in the United States of America and the UK. In both those countries there is a growing movement to throw over renewable energy technologies and move back to coal and oil as soon as possible. We understand the fears and share some of the nostalgia for a bygone age which the proponents of this U turn so plainly demonstrate, Yet we also recognise that other countries will not. They will adapt clean green technologies rather fast. Not only will this leave the Anglo-Saxon economies hopelessly far behind. Their pollution will also make them a dangerous threat to other places in the world. Places which may seek to shut down that danger by whatever means necessary.

[1]https://www.nobelprize.org/all-nobel-prizes-2025/

[2]https://www.nobelprize.org/uploads/2025/10/advanced-economicsciencesprize2025.pdf

[3]https://www.forbes.com/sites/chunkamui/2012/01/18/how-kodak-failed/

#science #technology #growth #innovation #digital cameras #renewable energy

Hello we’re back-and we have Nobel Prizes!

First of all, apologies for our forced and utterly unwanted absence. But Domestic Renovations, and the sorts of people who carry them out, can be as tiresome and time-consuming as any other human relationship which the Gentleman Scholar must negotiate -domestic staff mistresses and lovers, cleaners, mechanics, and countless others. All require patient listening, multiple cups of tea and hefty pay offs, if only to still their incessant demands for even a moment. But here we are back again where it counts-with you, gentle readers. And we are glad to say that we return with one of our favourite sequences of the year. It’s Nobel Prize season again. [1]

For us, the Nobel prizes are the very essence of what this blog is all about. That careful learning and scholarship are not only what lifts our lives above the miserable condition of wild apes (well, some of us): they constitute the only only possible escape route from our current plights, many of which are serious and grave. And this time we think we can prove it. with the help of three of the very winners themselves-how’s that for endorsement, ladies and gentlemen? That’s the prize which will receive our first detailed attention, in the next blog: but let’s start with a roll call of the stupendously intelligent people who have stood out this year as the cream of humanity

Physics: John Clarke Michel H Devoret John M Martins Amazing work “for the discovery of macroscopic quantum mechanical tunnelling and energy quantisation in an electric circuit” Yup, we kind of lost too it after the fourth word in the citation, but we’ll try to understand it better in time for a later blog

Chemistry Susuma Kitagawa Richard Robson Omar M Yaghi Want to capture Carbon dioxide, water in the desert, store toxic gases and many other things? These discoveries will let you do all of them. If this isn’t right on the raison d’etre of this blog, we don’t know what is. Again, come back later for more

Physiology and/or Medicine Anything in these fields must be close to an LSS reader’s heart. So the work of Mary E Brunkow, Fred Ramsdell and Shimon Sakaguchi on the tricky world of the immune system requires our most emphatic hats-off

Literature and Peace Intelligence can be of the Emotional kind as well as the academic, as many of us discover with agonising slowness and pain. So although these subjects lie outside the remit of our blog we are proud to give honourable mentions to László Krasznahorkai and Maria Corina Machado respectively (is she a relative of Antonio Machado the famous Spanish poet, we wonder?-ed)

But finally our first next blog on this subject, as t’were, will be devoted to the patient Economics work of Joel Mokyr, Phillipe Aghion and Peter Howitt. Because finally they have shown at Nobel level, what we have believed for so long. It’s science and learning that drives the economy. Which is where we go next time.

[1] https://www.nobelprize.org/all-nobel-prizes-2025/

#nobel prizes #economics #physics #chemistry #medicine #physiology #economics

Heroes of Learning: Leonardo Pisano(Fibonacci)

Have you ever looked at the strange spiral in a broccoli floret and wondered how it got like that? Or hundreds of other things in nature from the shapes of waves on the beach to the arrangements of artichoke leaves? The answer to all this and much more was discovered by Leonardo Pisano, better known to the modern world as Fibonnaci.(C1170 AD-c 1245) [1] [2]

A bright lad from Pisa in Italy, his big break came when his father took him on a business trip to Bugia in what is now called Tunisia. Father and son met an Arab mathematician (the Islamic world was still far ahead in science and technology) who kindly showed them the amazing new numbering system which they had learned in turn from the Hindus. The young Leo realised at once that this strange numerical system of 0, 1 2-9 was utterly superior to the cumbersome Roman system of letters( V X MCXCCVL, etc) On his return to Italy he published the Liber Abaci, whose short 27 or so chapters are one of the most significant books in the canon of western learning. Not only did it update all and sundry on the new number system. Not only was it full of useful applications for this system. Above all it promulgated an intriguing new sequence of numbers which goes 0,1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13…..to infinity. Each number in the sequence is formed by adding the two before. Dividing one by its predecessor quickly gets to the Golden ratio, which artists and architects have been using as on of the most aesthetically pleasing constructions for centuries.

We have alluded here before to odd mathematical structures such as pi and Eulers number: which show up again and again in nature: Fibonacci’s sequence is another of them. We have no idea why, but then: nor does anyone else. But the real significance of Fibonacci was his timing. For the first time, and after a long sleep, Western Europe was starting to make original contributions in natural sciences. And it did it by borrowing humbly from other more learned cultures. A lesson we should not forget today.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fibonacci

[2]https://www.bbc.co.uk/bitesize/articles/zm3rdnb

#fibonacci #mathematics #middle ages ##tunisia #india #biology #architecture

Human Evolution: More muddle in the middle?

Taking time out as ever from more serious matters, we return to our old playground of human evolution. And not just for R and R, important as that is. Also, because the methods and pronouncements of its scholars are important guides to how we should all approach any complicated and potentially controversial subject.

Until recently the origin of our own species seemed fairly clear cut. It emerged from a pack of other big-brained contenders (think Denisovans and Neanderthals among others) starting around 250 000 years ago, in Africa, and clearing the rest of the field no later than 35000 years BP. However recent work by Professor Chris Stringer of London’s prestigious Natural History Museum and colleagues have now cast this into doubt. It is even possible that the line leading to Homo sapiens may have started to go its own way before 1000 000 years BP. You can read why in these takes from Jonathan Chadwick of the Mail here [1] or a slightly extended version in the museums own PR piece here [2] It all goes back to 1990 and the discovery of a rather squashed skull called Yunxian 2 which was attributed to Homo erectus: a perfectly reasonable decision at the time. But using advanced new reconstruction techniques Stringer and his colleagues assert

……… Yunxian 2 displays a unique combination of primitive and more advanced traits. These include a large, squat braincase and a more projecting lower face, similar to Homo erectus. At the same time, derived features in the face and rear of the braincase, as well as a larger brain capacity, are closer to later species such as Homo longi (‘Dragon Man’) and Homo sapiens.

We have been following this game for for nearly six decades: so what do we think? First Chris Stringer is a fine scholar whom we have always admired. Secondly, we welcome all attempts to re evaluate data and set it in new contexts: that way real learning occurs. Our caveat is more with practice . Always and again in human evolution, new fossils found are baptised with confident new binomial Latin names in the great Linnean tradition. Then vast conclusions are drawn, which, in our experience, are substantially revised some years later. This has led not only to the muddle in the middle to which the articles allude. There are plenty more early on the story, and more than one much later on. We think the first clearing step should be to talk less about species, and more about gene frequencies populations. and ways of life. These clearly cluster at points of excavation, such as Afar, Java or Atapuerca to name but a few. But each point, however iconic, is represented by relatively few bones. There are enormous gaps in space and time between each, into which genes and populations must have been flowing all the time. Is it not possible that there has only been one human line all along, and that many of the variations are likely due to factors such as ecology, climate or isolation? The real answer is to dig, dig and dig again.

[1]https://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-15132633/skull-pushes-origins-400-000-years.html

[2]https://www.nhm.ac.uk/press-office/press-releases/analysis-of-reconstructed-ancient-skull-pushes-back-our-origins-.html

#paleoanthropology #human evolution #clade #species #Homo sapiens #China

If all the wealth in the world were shared out, what would happen?

Many decades ago, we often used to hear the argument “if all the money in the country were shared out, everyone would only get 20p” A tiny sum, which could not make any difference to daily life. This was the UK in 1973, Perhaps it was true then, there. Is it true of the world as a whole today?

The statement itself is a cognitive howler: because it equates wealth with money, carefully avoiding the inclusion of all the goods, capital infrastructure(IT systems, railways, etc.) and productive resources such as factories that make up the wealth of the world, which is best expressed as GDP. When we set out to find what that was, the best estimate was from the World Bank,[1] who put it at $105 trillion in 2023. Now, the population of the world is around 8 billion (8×10⁹) people. What would happen if we found a way to share that GDP among all of them? The answer is: everyone ends up with an an income of $13 125 a year. Which surprised us greatly. Instead of being insignificant, its actually quite a lot. Let us explain why.

That same world bank defines four categories of national income by GDP. Low: $1 135 or less. Lower Middle: $1 136-$4 465. Upper Middle: $4 466- $13 845. High: $13 846 and anything above. There is enough wealth in the world to raise everyone almost to the level of high income countries, certainly to the very top of the middle range.

Now there may be very good reasons why this cannot be done. Some are practical. Some are moral. But if it were done, what difference might it make to such issues as mass migration, educational attainment, and the overall level of demand in the world economy? Let alone health, security and basic nutrition. Just a thought.

[1]https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/gdp-worldbank

#wealth #GDP per capita #economics #inequality #migration #health #geography #economics