Why Post Brexit Immigration may be stoking a toxic future

We once wrote a blog (LSS 8 12 22) expressing wonder at how some people in Cumbria were demanding to be put back underground into the dangerous job of coal mining. We ascribed this to nostalgia for a lost sense of community, and the lack of cultural tools to imagine anything better.

Which is why an article by the ingenious Larry Elliott of the Guardian[1] has caught our eye. As some of us predicted in 2016, Brexit did not reduce the flow of immigration. It simply shifted the sources to countries such as India, Nigeria and Zimbabwe. The introduction of a points-based system has effected one crucial shift, replacing unskilled European workers with skilled ones from the former Commonwealth. As Larry notes:

Data from Oxford University’s migration observatory shows migrants from India and sub-Saharan Africa are more likely to be employed in high-skilled jobs and command higher salaries than those from eastern Europe. 

The new system has certainly reduced the salience of immigration as a political issue. The sort of low to semi-skilled manual workers who voted Leave in such large numbers in 2016, may find their occupations and lifestyles unthreatened, while enjoying the services of more and more doctors, lawyers and IT professionals. But there may be a long term danger.

A culturally stagnant working class, content to remain forever in roles like builders and miners, could find itself becoming subservient to a new class of foreign born professionals. which they will perceive as alien. As Amy Chua pointed out in her excellent work Political Tribes, the real cause of the Vietnam war was that ordinary Vietnamese hated the largely Chinese middle class, who seemed to have cornered all the best opportunities. It was the same with Jews in many parts of Europe, whose values of thrift and intelligence were never enough to save them from the most dreadful persecutions. We have been wrong before in this blog (although we cannot think of a simple example right now) but we would watch this trend carefully. Particularly with regard to the negotiations with India.

[1] https://www.theguardian.com/business/2023/sep/10/post-brexit-shift-in-immigration-may-mean-higher-wages-and-more-self-sufficient-uk-economy-sunak-trade-india

[2] Amy Chua Political Tribes Penguin 2018

#brexit #xenophobia #immigration #migration #middle class #india # nahrendra mohdi #rishi sunak

Weekly Round Up: Birds, Dinosaurs and why we might all be mad

What is Mad? Fifty years ago, if you had said “dinosaurs are still living among us”, people would have declared you to be mad. Now it’s accepted wisdom-our feathered friends are nothing more than a bunch of dinosaurs hiding in plain sight. So-what is a normal mind? Here’s a book which is more than usually interesting about how the mind works which takes a fresh look

https://inews.co.uk/culture/books/the-balanced-brain-by-camilla-nord-review-an-exciting-new-perspective-on-mental-health-2592061

We thank Mr Peter Seymour for this story

Jurassic Beak When is a bird a bird, and a dinosaur a dinosaur? When we say so. The key learning from this new discovery is that there was a vast ecology of creatures displaying a mosaic of features some of which were more bird like than others. Learning is often no more than where someone has drawn a line. Nature Briefings Dino prompts rethink of bird evolution

The fossil of a bird-like dinosaur that lived around the same time as Archaeopteryx— considered by many palaeontologists to be the first bird — has been found in what is now southeastern China. Fujianvenator prodigiosusadds to mounting evidence that there were plenty of different birds living in the Late Jurassic period. Dinosaurs might have diversified into different kinds of bird to occupy different ecological niches, says palaeontologist Hailu You. Fujianvenator’s particularly elongated hindlimbs suggest that it was all about running or wading, instead of flying. “Early bird evolution is complicated,” says You.Nature | 3 min read
Reference: Nature paper

Belief and knowledge are two different things As this article shows, the desire to believe something, especially if it confirms your deepest desires, can trash the effects of even a heavy dose of learning. Even when people have been scammed, they keep on coming back. So don’t expect any reversal of Brexit any time soon. The Conversation:

It’s too damn hot as Cole Porter would have it. Long before the sea or the wildfires get you, global warming may a start cooking you in your bed. This little piece from the BBC shows where the limits might lie

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-66249805

That’s it for this week. See you all on Monday

#bird #dinosaur #climate change #mental health #scam

Liz Truss: The UK’s very own Robot Monster Moment

It is exactly a year since the Rt Hon Liz Truss began her brief period as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom. Including ten days of mourning for her late Majesty Queen Elizabeth II , Ms Truss lasted just 44 days in office. And rightly so; her actions were not just bad, they were so horrendously abysmal, that they raise a question. How can we comprehend this catastrophe? What can it be compared to?[1]

We consulted many experts: economists, historians, media personalities, psychiatrists; but we found one group had the answer which most satisfied our curiosity and reduced our levels of cognitive dissonance to manageable levels. It was Bad Movie fans, and their choice of Robot Monster as the template paradigm for the Truss Government.

For those alien to the fraternity, Robot Monster was the one where they stuck a diving helmet on the head of a man in a furry gorilla suit. As the Director Phil Tucker explained [2]

I originally envisioned the monster as a kind of robot………I talked to several guys that I knew who had robot suits, but it was just out of the way, money wise. I thought “OK I know George Barrows George’s occupation was a gorillas suit man When they needed a gorilla in in a picture they called George, because he owned his own suit and got like 40 bucks a day. I thought “I know George will work for me for nothing. I’ll get a diving helmet, put it on him, and it’ll work!” [2]

If you want to know why it doesn’t work, try combining the two images at the top of this article, or click on the links [3], [4] to see Tucker’s creation in its full glory.

Tucker was a reasonably intelligent man. And his premises were strong: people liked scary movies, especially about things like robots, gorillas and aliens. So, what was not to like in Robot Monster? Now click again. And try to keep a straight face. Truss was (is) a reasonably intelligent woman, and probably more honest than a number of her Parliamentary colleagues. And the ideas she loved (lower taxes, a smaller state) are at least defensible, if not always right. But it is possible to put right things together in a wrong way, especially if you are working fast, and on the cheap. The results are always the same. Robot Monster. And the Truss administration.

[1]https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/politics/liz-trusss-49-days-chaos-30858891?int_source=amp_continue_reading&int_medium=amp&int_campaign=continue_readin

[2] Medved H, Medved M The Golden Turkey Awards Perigee 1980

[3] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Robot_Monster

[4] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_films_considered_the_worst

#liz truss #robot monster #kwasi kwarteng #uk

Will Sussex Save the World?

The news that the Amazon area is now a net emitter of carbon [1]should come as no surprise to those of us who have followed the reckless activities of certain Brazilian politicians and their associates. The Amazon, the very lung of the planet, which might have protected us from so much climate damage, is giving out.

Fortunately, someone is taking up the slack. That someone is the English county of Sussex (East and West) which has launched a project of such potential that it offers hope for us all. They are going to plant kelp all they way along their shores, all the way from Chichester to Beachy Head. We could expend pages singing the praises of kelp-its benefits in the food and plastics industries, as fertiliser, and as a haven for marine life. We’ll let our links do the talking instead [2] [3] No, what we want is to draw your attention to the awe-inspiring powers of kelp as a carbon sequestration mechanism, in this excellent blog by Sylvia Hurliman [[4]

We have alluded to this project in previous blogs here (LSS 15 1 21) and in certain media outlets. And it’s so gratifying to learn about the progress which has been made since then, particulary when it starts to make national news. Sussex is showing the way.gentle readers. Will you pressure your Government to follow them?

[1]https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2021/jul/19/amazon-deforestation-jair-

bolsonaro-rainforest-carbon-contributors

[2] https://sussexkelp.org.uk/

[3] https://sussexwildlifetrust.org.uk/helpourkelp

[4]https://sitn.hms.harvard.edu/flash/2019/how-kelp-naturally-combats-global-climate-change/

#amazon #carbon capture #global warming #kelp forest

RAAC: the problem is with Society, not Government

For overseas readers who are not neurotically tuned to the British News Cycle, we have a problem in these islands. A great big, money swallowing, attention devouring, cluster of a problem called RAAC. And it will be coming to you soon.

RAAC (Reinforced autoclaved aerated concrete) was a cheap building material which achieved a cult status among construction firms and accountants(especially accountants) from the 1940s until the 1980s. Suddenly, over a hundred English schools have had to be wholly or partially closed in case the stuff suddenly fails, depositing tonnes of rubble on the heads of children and teachers alike. [1] It’s early days here; but people are very reasonably asking questions like: How many other schools? What about hospitals, car parks, garages, shopping malls and other public spaces, large and small? Which is where you come in, gentle overseas reader-because we bet your country was not immune to this shoddy plague either.

As our link shows, public and media alike are preparing to give a most humongous kicking to our hapless Prime Minister, Mr Sunak. But before they do, they should remember one thing. We have created a culture, no an entire civilization, based entirely on the cost price. Where keeping it as cheap as possible is fetishised to the exclusion of all other values. Not aesthetic, not long term, not even utility. A myopic set of values where the buy/sell price is the sole determinant of any transaction. Traders buy and sell; they create nothing, by definition. So when their values become hegemonic, investment must always suffer. Sunak rose in this system, and so must take some of the blame. But we created it, bit by bit, in thousands of newspaper articles, think tank reports and populist soundbites. It will take decades to find a more balanced set of values. And they’ll still be clearing up the RAAC.

[1] https://www.theguardian.com/education/2023/sep/04/england-crumbling-schools-rishi-sunak-repairs-civil-servant

#RAAC #Rishi Sunak #concrete #construction #education

Weekly Round Up: When Humans nearly went extinct, Brexit Nostalgia, Alzheimers-and much besides

Been Here before? Global warming, plagues of antibiotic-resistant bacteria, nuclear war……..believe it or not this isn’t the first time that humanity has flirted with extinction, as this piece from the Mail makes clear

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-12465399/Early-humans-nearly-went-EXTINCT-900-000-years-ago-population-ancestors-dropped-just-1-280-individuals-stud

Blaming Brexit? We have long argued here that Britain’s problems predate Brexit by years if not decades. The vote of 2016 was a symptom of a deeper sickness. But for the benefit of our overseas readers, here is a review of a book by a Daily Telegraph writer(yes, we actually wrote those words) which may serve as a warning to all those who prize emotion over reason

A Checklist for AI “Consciousness How will i know if he really loves me ? “sang Whitney Houston You can ask this question about cats or computers-and we may have to very soon. Here’s Nature Briefings

Rapid advances in artificial intelligence (AI) have many researchers pondering the prospect of AI one day becoming conscious. But how would we know if it was? A group of neuroscientists, philosophers and computer scientists has proposed a checklist of criteria for determining whether a system is likely to be conscious. Instead of putting an AI system through a behavioural test, the researchers suggest using the checklist, which draws on several competing theories of consciousness.Nature | 4 min read
Reference: ArXiv preprint (not peer reviewed

21 for the price of 1 Antivaxxers need to ask themselves-if vaccines are so bad, how can this entirely rational practice have so many beneficial side effects? And remember, this report comes from one of your own, the Daily Mail no less. Does that, possibly, make you think again?

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/health/article-12448901/Covid-jabs-protect-patients-giving-antibodies-against-21-viruses-includi

Alzheimers Drugs Recent optimism on the latest generation of Alzheimers needs tempering, according to The Conversation. We always like a second opinion on any subject

well, there you go for this week have a good weekend

Global Warming: Made in 1974

And so the world burns, the seas rise and formerly pleasant areas like Florida are lashed by ever more violent storms(Ron Di Santis take note) Yet all of this was avoidable, gentle readers, if just a handful of people had decided a different way.

In August 1973 the world had clocked up 28 years of steady growth, especially in western countries. Regulated markets, and a growing network of co-operative international institutions, such as the World Bank, IMF and EC, suggested steady progress which would eventually be shared by all. Yet that autumn changed everything, as older readers will recall. A bitterly-contested war in the Middle East led Arab countries to employ the OIl Embargo. The result was disastrous inflation and economic chaos across the world. It was a time of doubt, dread and uncertainty. Decades-old verities were called into sudden, terrible, question, especially in places like the UK, which ended up only working for three days a week.

Something had to be done. And policymakers faced a choice. They could choose a financial solution-reduce the money supply, raise interest rates and cut labour costs. Or they could choose a scientific and engineering solution; wean themselves off oil as fast as possible using renewable and nuclear technologies. They chose the former. Inflation was indeed licked. You can argue about the cost-rising poverty and inequality, unstable financial markets, vast flows of migration. But the policies of economists like Milton Friedman, implemented by politicians like Margaret Thatcher and Ronald Reagan, mean that the memories of that terrible winter do indeed seem long ago.

But imagine if the other solution had been tried instead.. That the world had moved to a renewable carbon free economy. If this path had been started in 1974, it is pretty likely that it would all have been completed by about 2000. Not only would emissions have started to fall by about 1990, every molecule of carbon dioxide that has hit the atmosphere since the turn of the century need not have existed. We would never have heard of climate change. It’s funny how a single binary choice, which seemed so easy to make at the time, could have had such devastating long tern consequences. So- were those long lost years of the 1970s the worst ever in History. Or are we playing with hindsight?

#oil crisis #global warming #climate change #monetarism #milton friedman #solar power

Who’s that guy in the photo?

Look at your old holiday photos from Kos in 1986. That’s right, the old paper ones. There’s you with your mates toasting another happy night with Pina Coladas. So, who are those people in the background who just happened to be passing when the shot was taken? A bunch of Dutch entomologists? An American couple from Milwaukee in the throes of a relationship breakdown? Where are they now? Did they meet someone else? Are they happy or sad?

And-whose photos are you in? If you’ve lived in a tourist hotspot like London or New York, you’ve probably been an extra in dozens of snaps, especially now everything is digital, and every phone an infinite library of images. At one point, for a fleeting moment, your life and the photographer’s life coincided. Were you and that Japanese lady from Osaka really meant for each other? So much so that, had you spoken, you both would have left your partners and run off to start a new life together as consultant software engineers in Bali, Indonesia?

And who else is in that picture? Most of us lead harmless, uneventful lives, at least if given enough to eat and the basics of shelter. But might someone more sinister be lurking in your photo collection as well? A criminal? A psychopath? A journalist from the Sun? Once someone found a photo of a huge crowd in Vienna. It was taken on the day they proclaimed the First World War. And in among them, cheering away, was the young Adolf Hitler.[1] Even people like him get to stand around in crowds, before they have really begun on their life’s work, so to speak.

So now go back to your old albums and digital archives. Forget the family and friends. Look in the background. Because after reading this, someone there will be looking at you.

The image below has been reproduced from Bing search database It is a superb archive of images and graphics on every conceivable subject and should be widely consulted by researchers, journalists, teachers students and all with an interest in the furtherance of knowledge thanks, guys [1]

Weekly Round Up: Prigozhin, Monsters, Appendectomies-and Garbage

Prigozhin Blues The fallout from the recent plane crash in Russia continues. Amid the tidal wave of speculation, our indefatigable associate Mr Peter Seymour has judged that this piece from Time stands out

https://time.com/6308185/yevgeny-prigozhin-death-vladimir-putins-power/

Hats off to India While their former colonial masters languish in continuing decline and irrelevance, India marches boldly into the future. Whatever the motives, this is a remarkable achievement The Conversation explains

https://theconversation.com/indias-chandrayaan-3-landed-on-the-south-pole-of-the-moon-a-space-policy-expert-explains-what-this-means-for-india-and-the

Get some revenge on the Planet-burners Is it possible to start making polluters pay? Early days so far, but one brave and determined group of Swiss ladies have made a start. Here’s Nature Briefings older female activists fight climate change

A group of more than 2,000 older women has taken the Swiss government to the European Court of Human Rights over its climate-change policy. They say that, because heatwaves disproportionately affect older women, Switzerland’s inaction on climate change is violating their right to life and health. Research into the effects of climate change on health will also be key to two other lawsuits — one against the French government and one against 33 European countries. Decisions about all three cases are expected by early 2024.Nature | 7 min read

Digestive Mysteries Following the lead of publications like New Scientist, we’ve covered stories about the deepening interest in evidence that links part of the digestive system (gums, microbiomes, etc) with the health of the nervous system (we’ve mentioned things like Alzheimers and so on) A further intriguing straw in the wind comes from this article in the Mail

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/health/article-12444523/Parkinsons-originate-appendix-organ-removed-52-likely-develop-condition-st

The key to Loch Ness Monster hunters are gearing up for the biggest hunt for their elusive quarry for 50 years. It will be quite a media fest, while the pubs and souvenir shops on the shores of the famous Loch Ness will no doubt see a roaring trade. We don’t want to spoil the fun. But if the beast really is a dinosaur or plesiosaur or something, didn’t they all die out 65000 000 years ago? And isn’t Loch Ness only 10 000 years old? OK we were terrible at maths-but even we can see how this may present a problem

https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2023/aug/21/loch-ness-monster-enthusiasts-gear-up-for-biggest-search-in-50-years

A song from Scotland (Sort of) Talking of Loch Ness and things Scottish, we could wax lyrical on the many bands we’ve admired from north of the border-Travis, Texas, and Eurythmics all spring to mind but there have been many more. Just to be a bit different, we’ve picked out Garbage(well, the singer was Scottish) and this reminder of the heady, glorious days of the 1990s when Mr Clinton and Mr Blair seemed to have everything sorted out. Look how that ended, Stupid Girl

Was Jesus a bit too Left-wing?

Oh dear. We are sorrowed to have to report a troubling intellectual problem for our friends in the Evangelical Community in the United States. The teachings of Jesus Christ. Who, let’s be frank, certainly had something to do with the founding of their religion. According to Russell Moore, a man of impeccable faith and learning

………………… multiple pastors had told him they would quote the Sermon on the Mount, specifically the part that says to “turn the other cheek,” when preaching. Someone would come up after the service and ask, “Where did you get those liberal talking points?”

What was alarming to me is that in most of these scenarios, when the pastor would say, ‘I’m literally quoting Jesus Christ,’ the response would not be, ‘I apologize.’ The response would be, ‘Yes, but that doesn’t work anymore. That’s weak,” (From the New Republic )[1]

Oh dear, that pesky Sermon! And all that woke stuff about the Good Samaritan! Who let this guy into the Church? To say nothing about all those money changers in the temple! Just imagine it-if we all had to interpret our faith, we’d have to think! And then we might have to think about other things! Who knows where it might all end? [2]

But people of True Faith need not worry. Because there is One Man living among us who knows the Truth on every subject. A man of stainless moral character, impeccable integrity, amazingly youthful and handsome (for his advanced years) and is, by his own admission, popular with the ladies. It’s certainly true that according to some of his followers, Donald J Trump is already neck-and neck with Jesus [3] But even they admit he is not quite the Full Monty. And The Man himself has not (so far) claimed divine honours of any kind. But, in the end, what does it matter? Who needs Jesus when you have Donald Trump!

we thank Mr Peter Seymour for this story

[1]https://newrepublic.com/post/174950/christianity-today-editor-evangelicals-call-jesus-liberal-weak

[2]https://www.politico.eu/article/jesus-leftist-or-rightist-religion-politics/

[3]https://www.businessinsider.com/donald-trump-shares-post-proclaiming-him-second-only-to-jesus-2022-9?r=US&IR=T

#jesus christ #donald j trump #left wing #right wing #religion #theology #christianity