If not a World Government, then what?

In this series we’ve discussed the possibility that a World Government might somehow form on this tiny planet. And of the advantages it might bring to current and future generations. We also mentioned the possible dangers, which are very real.

Readers have suggested two ways this might come about. Firstly through the gradual fusion of larger and larger economic and territorial blocks until only one remains in authority, Nice if it happened, but given our view of human nature, unlikely. History suggests that a single authority imposes itself only after military victory over rivals. This was certainly the case in China when the Qin Dynasty finally triumphed over the other warring states. It was so in the Mediterranean basin as the Roman Republic achieved hegemony. It would be interesting to speculate which the current warring states could yet emerge as the single sovereign. We would suggest the USA, The Peoples Republic of China, India and Russia as the principle contenders, with Nigeria as a possible long shot candidate. But all of this supposes the current economic and political framework remains intact. Current trends in climate, pollution and epidemiology make this unlikely.

For we live in a time of rapid ecological collapse. This is not unprecedented. The Classical world was ruined by a series of major epidemics and climate change, as Professor Harper has shown [1] There is good reason to suspect similar factors were at work behind the Late Bronze Age Collapse of the second millennium. [2] In both cases, what followed was not a single superpower. But rather an anarchy of warring little kingdoms, where trade was minimal and learning extinguished. In both cases it took several centuries for populations to claw their way back up to even a minimum level of Civilisation. And remember-they had one advantage which we do not. Humanity was then the only intelligent species in existence. Now there may be others waiting in the wings. We’ll look at that next time.

[1]Kyle Harper The Fate of Rome Princeton University Press 2018

[2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Late_Bronze_Age_collapse

#world government #global warming # ecology #pollution #world war #china #usa #india #russian federation #nigeria

Dementia and Resistance: Two Antibiotics stories from the front line, plus our take on Glasgow Rangers v Manchester United

A Cure for Dementia? What hope, what unexpected hope, there may be in antibiotic drugs! We knew that when we started this blog. We did it because we were scared of resistant bacteria. But we never anticipated this benefit: antibiotic drugs may protect us from dementia. So might antiviral drugs. So might vaccines too. Andrew Gregory of the Guardian has been following the work of Dr Ben Underwood. In a nutshell

…….One unexpected finding was an association between antibiotics, antivirals and vaccines and a reduced risk of dementia. The finding supports the hypothesis that some cases of the disease may be triggered by viral or bacterial infections. [1]

Of course, there are many questions to be answered. But for us the point is how precious these drugs are, how important it is not to waste them. Which leads us to:

War starts spike in microbial resistance Armed conflicts produce vast surges in traumatic casualties, in dirt and in squalor. All of which necessitate an understandable increase in prescription of antibiotics. Which in turn leads to rising levels of resistance. As Abdujalil Abdurasulov adduces for the BBC [2]

………war appears to have accelerated the spread of multi-resistant pathogens in Ukraine.Clinics treating war injuries have registered a sharp increase of AMR cases. More than 80% of all patients admitted to Feofaniya Hospital have infections caused by microbes which are resistant to antibiotics, according to deputy chief physician Dr Andriy Strokan.

Once started, these resistant strains of bacteria will not go away. They will spread and multiply. How ironic if many of us end up as casualties of a war between third parties, with whom we have no direct connection. Which leads us to:

War For all? We are beginning to suspect that the tendency to divide into hostile camps , who quickly resort to violence, may be a major cognitive defect in the brains of Homo sapiens. Here is our exhibit A: Recently the followers of the popular Association Football Team Manchester United were involved in violent fighting with the followers of the popular Association Football Team Glasgow Rangers. Why? What economic, intellectual or spiritual gains to they hope to make from such an expenditure of time and effort.?(not to mention the legal penalties which may accrue) What on earth divides them so deeply? Yet if people can fight over such infinitesimal differences as theirs, what hope for any of us? One thing is clear to this blog: there will be a lot more antibiotic resistance. Natural Selection does not forgive species that indulge in maladaptive behaviour. What is waiting in the wings to replace us?

[1]https://www.theguardian.com/society/2025/jan/21/antibiotics-antivirals-and-vaccines-could-help-tackle-dementia-study-suggests?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other

[2]https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c20k5wrgz13o

[3]https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cy7gnd72xe8o#:~:text=Trouble%20before%20and%20during%20Manchester%20United%27s%20Europa%

#antibiotic resistance #medicine #health #ukraine #russia #football #manchester united #rangers

China sets Fusion World record

The news that China’s new nuclear fusion record cannot come a moment too soon. The Experimental Advanced Tokamak has achieved a record “burn” of 1066 seconds. Way , way beyond anything which they or anyone else had achieved so far. Seventeen minutes of artificial sun, here on this planet. The prospect of abundant, cheap and above all clean energy just got a little closer.[1]

God knows we could all do with some good news at the moment. With America deliberately marching backwards to the twentieth century by going back to oil and coal, China has clearly set itself on the path to leadership on the transition to a safe planet. But will that be the only issue they have to resolve?

[1]https://www.livescience.com/planet-earth/nuclear-energy/chinas-artificial-sun-shatters-nuclear-fusion-record-by-generating-steady-loop-of-plasma-for-1-000-seconds

#nuclear fusion #clean energy #global warming #china #usa

World Government #4: The Downsides

The Empire of the Romans filled the world, and when that Empire fell into the hands of a single person, the world became a safe and dreary prison for his enemies Edward Gibbon The Decline and Fall of the Roman Empire

For good commercial reasons the Roman World had expanded to its possible geographical limits, beyond which were nothing but deserts, oceans, and barbarians. It was the same with Imperial China. At least dissidents in present autocracies can live with the hope that somewhere are free men, or at least national enemies, who may still thumb their noses at the tyrant. A World Empire would close down dissent forever.

Such is the case made by the eloquent Ilya Somin for the Cato Institute [1] We do not always revere the pronouncements of this Institute as much as they might like. But there has always been an honesty of purpose about them, and we take this admonition very seriously indeed. In fact we would add another danger. The existence of nation states , each with different ways of doing things, potentially allows the growth of centres of excellence*, where new ways of thinking can be tried and tested. A single government might rapidly stifle progress, or at least slow it to a crawl.

Always beware of a good idea, especially when it is your own. We have spent three blogs advocating the benefits of a World Government. We hope that this one advertises the very real dangers sufficiently.

*The most intelligent person we have ever known believes in this concept

[1]https://www.bing.com/search?q=Cato+institure+world+government&form=ANNTH1&refig=CE70A53FE2214B2DB64595022921BCC8&pc=HCTS

#world government #edward gibbon #freedom #tyranny #economics #politics #Cato institute

Cleaning Products: an unseen cause of antibiotic resistance?

“Kills 99% of all known bacteria!” “The Cleanest Clean it’s ever been! “The half-remembered advertising slogans of our youth, from companies promoting the bewildering variety of household cleaning products with which we scour and sparkle our homes. And for once, we think they have been doing a good job. No one, absolutely no one wishes to go back to the squalid homes of the pre-industrial world. A glance at a few Renaissance or Baroque masters will reveal the filthy disorder of ancient lives. And remember-the Della Francescas and Brueghels were paid to produce sanitised, rather orderly versions of what must have been an unpleasant reality indeed.

But what if we have been paying a hidden price for all this progress? What happens when all those bleaches, soaps and detergents go down the drain and out into the rivers, seas and lakes? According to Anastasia Theodosiou and Chrissie Jones, writing for the Conversation, there might be a problem. Two problems actually. The first is damage to the microbiome of the skin, that marvellous ecology of bacteria which covers us all and keeps us safe from things like asthma, obesity and cancer. The second, rather more pertinent to LSS and our raison d’etre, is that this outpouring may be unleashing antibiotic resistance among microbes in the environment. Which process will one day come back to bite us very badly indeed. And our crops. And our herds. Is that Biblical, or what?

Our thoughts? We know you like ’em. Well we don’t think we should give up things like washing and cleaning homes any time soon, as the mortality will be measured in hecatombs. But these ladies have a point, as does Baroness Natalie Bennett who is sponsoring a Bill on the whole matter through the UK House of Lords. As ever getting this right is a matter of balance, of careful navigation between the interests of all concerned parties. Another chance to show the angry partisanship of binary thinking is a very bad method indeed.

Incidentally, will Americans ever learn that last lesson?

https://theconversation.com/antibacterials-are-everywhere-for-the-sake-of-our-microbiome-we-need-to-control-their-use-247723?utm_

#microbial resistance #antibiotics #pollution #environment #progress

A Big Thank you

To all our readers, contributors, followers and those who dive in just for a quick look. Above all, those who take the trouble to send us likes and comments. Particularly new chums on the BLUE SKY site, which we have recently joined.

As you can see we have restored the picture function. It was our fault. Some of the Ape creatures of the High Himalayas have better IT skills than we do. But we got there in the end.

We look forward to providing you with continued coverage of matters scietific, educational and economic for a while

THE BOARD

Heroes of Learning: Peter Ramus

Due to difficulties with the Word press site we are unable to bring you images. We hope to resume this function soon

Remember your first textbook? Your first real textbook, when you’d left school and started to learn something which you really wanted to? It could have been one on  Accounting, Zoology, Economics or something altogether more useful like Nursing or Housing Studies. OK,  It wasn’t light reading, exactly. But here was real serious learning, laid out by experts, divided into chapters, references, sections, with questions and answers. The very essence of professional: but, sometimes, there was wonder in there too, as it made you think. And how far would you have got without  this guidebook, comfort and, above all, friend? RP Littlewood, Living Spanish , that was our personal favourite. They’re still publishing it today, much updated of course.

Well what if we told you that all this was down to one man. He is called Peter Ramus in English, but he was one of those typical polymathic polynational scholars that the Renassance was always throwing up. There were brighter and better scholars at the time. But Peter had one insight which made his contribution to our progress as good as any of theirs . He realised that knowledge had to be organised, systematised and arranged into an orderly manner, enabling students to access it far more quickly, freeing up new time for creative thinking and discussion. And so he invented the Textbook. It was a force multiplier of immense power. Combined with effective use of the new printing technology it allowed learning to spread quickly and effectively in many fields. No single textbook or edition is ever perfect. They must be updated every few years as new  discoveries ensue. But the method and layout guarantee a sure design which has lasted, as its easy transference to the internet shows. An so we hail Peter Ramus as a true hero of learning, who helped make us what we are today.

Our link today comes from the BBC , the UK’s publicly funded source of news and information. It is rigorously objective and independent, and as such is hated by private purveyors of news of all sorts . Please support it where you can.

[1] https://www.bbc.co.uk/sounds/play/m0026vst

[2]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Petrus_Ramus

#textbook #learning #teaching #renaissance

World Government: the basic idea

The idea of a World Government isn’t all that new. Ancient rulers, even of such relatively tiny polities as Pharaonic Egypt made universal claims. Bigger entities such as Imperial China, or Rome could almost believe they encompassed the whole world, at least for practical purposes. Many regions of the globe have seen villages coalesce into counties and counties into countries. Each such change is marked by an increase in trade, and rising levels of security and prosperity. No wonder the idea has attracted such intellectual luminaries as Albert Einstein, HG Wells and Immanuel Kant. A few thinkers such as Adolf Hitler and the rulers of Imperial Japan tried rather hard to put these ideals in to practice between 1931 and 1945: but that didn’t seem to end very well . The whole matter is summarised rather admirably in this link to Wikipedia [1]

To all intents and purposes the world is now a single trading zone. Information travels instantly. You can get to anywhere important from anywhere important in 24 hours. So why not put the lot under a single judicial authority, one which has a monopoly on legitimate violence, and reap the benefits? These would not only be curing things like migration and climate change ( see previous posts) but would have the additional advantages of single regulation systems for matters as diverse as weights and measures, food standards and water quality. As other polities developed from colonies on the nearer planets ( we are sure that they will) a single Earth could more easily and efficiently conduct its trade and diplomatic affairs with them. The idea that this is happening in embryo via such bodies as the International Red Cross, the World Trade Organisation, the United Nations and a host of other Intergovernmental Agencies and Courts is easy to entertain. But the Wikipedia article will give you much more to chew on than we ever could.

We struggle to to see how such Giant Evils such as inequality, kleptocracy and environmental degradation can be solved without a World Government, at least within any safe time limit. However-always beware of a good idea, especially when you have it yourself! How might such a Government come about? By willing consent, or by armed force? We’ll look at that in the next post. And-here’s the big one-would it be quite the Utopia which some of the previous paragraphs suggest? We’ll look at that too, with the help of our latest recruit, one Edward Gibbon. In the meantime, find out how much money your country spends on Defence, Then ask yourself waht could be done with that budget if there was no need for it whatsoever, nor the taxes to pay for it.

[1]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_government

#world government #transport #communications #adolf hitler #china #rome #economics #politics #governance

Panzootic Disease: When The Guardian and Daily Mail agree, be very afraid indeed

They’re new and they spread fast. They mutate, jumping species barries with ease. Many of them are new, meaning there are no vaccines and no established treatments. They seem to come in many forms- prions, viruses, bacteria, whatever. What are they? Panzootic diseases. They may turn out to be the most significant health risk of this decade, making it time we all thought more about them. So here are two articles which we hope will give you, gentle reader, a sort of jump-off point from which can can know more.

Let’s start with the eloquent Luke Andrews of the Mail, who concentrates specifically Chronic Wasting Disease, or CWD for short.[1] It is caused by our old friends Prions (remember CJD?) and seems to be fatal to every animal it infects. Infection is by simple contact with any body fluid; and as deer are widely hunted from Wyoming to Pennsylvania, Luke identifies a growing problem, at least in the United States. More worrying for us is Luke’s report that it has jumped to wild pigs (that’s it displaying panzootic behaviour); it causes us to worry what may come next,

Pulling back for a broader view, we come to the erudite Phoebe Weston of the Guardian.[2] Unsurprisingly to well-informed LSS readers, her classic example of a Panzootic is H5N1, the avian flu which is currently ripping through hecatombs of our most iconic species of mammals and birds. If you think in terms of hard cash, how good is that for the tourist trade? Intriguingly, she sees COVID-19 as a classic Panzootic disease as well, as it seems to have spread to 48 species (no, we didn’t know that either). Best of all, Phoebe praises a book by a man called Mark Honigsbaum called The Pandemic Century; we link to a quick review here.[3] Because the causes of this are actually quite simple: uncontrolled development. destructive short-term farming and an insatiable hunger for things which bring instant, short-term gratification. That is the real sickness.

[1]https://www.dailymail.co.uk/health/article-14280007/researchers-warn-chronic-wasting-disease-zombie-deer.html

[2]https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2025/jan/15/age-of-the-panzootic-scientists-warn-of-more-devastating-diseases-jumping-between-species-aoe?CMP=

[3]https://www.theguardian.com/books/2019/jun/23/the-pandemic-century-one-hundred-years-panic-hysteria-mark-honigsbaum-review-riveting

#panzootic disease #prion #pandemic #CWD #habitat loss #global warming #virus

Vaccine Doubts, Rational Fears

One of the curses of being an LSS reader is that we tend to see how everything is connected. The current dismays in politics, international affairs, popular perceptions of science and economics all merge into each other, meaning we cannot escape. Not even into the quiet groves and ivory towers of Académe. Not even for a moment.

Proof of this came from our reading of an excellent article in The Conversation from the learned Professor Sven Bōlte,[1] who has been investigating the depressing reasons that people, including the President-Elect of the United States of America still obdurately refuse to let go of: the idea that vaccines cause Autism. Because every one of the reasons he cites can also be cited to explain the decay of democracy. Let’s look at a few, and you’ll see what we mean

Unawareness of Evidence

Reliably and accurately communicating research results to the public is difficult,” states Sven, “Popular media is typically superficial and often primarily interested in controversy that generates public attention.”

For research results read political issues Remember the £350 million on the side of the bus in the UK Referendum campaign? Quod erat demonstrandum

Challenges Understanding Science (shouldn’t that be “to understanding”?-ed)

Science is complicated and in medicine there are rarely absolute truths. The public, however, might expect clear consensus or have difficulty grasping the precise nuance of the science and its findings”.

For science read economics or law.   Yes they do struggle a bit with nuance, don’t they?

Doubts of science

“The human need for immediate and simple explanations for complex issues fuels misbelief”.

The word “research” does not mean sitting on the internet for 30 minutes and pasting up your favourite clicks.

Invisible success of vaccine programmes.

Vaccination programmes are among the most cost-effective public health interventions available and have averted deaths and long-term disease on a global level in the last decades.

They take it all for granted when it works.  Like everything else we’ve given them since The Enlightenment. You know. Soap, Schools. Scooters. Computers. Machines upon which to play their popular musical ditties.  A certain entitlement has crept in; and a price must always be paid for that.

We could go on, and you may read the whole article for yourself, gentle reader, by clicking on the link.  Does all the above suggest the bulk of humanity lacks the cognitive ability to live in a post industrial world? Or are they just festering with resentment because we stopped them from smoking and burning witches? We await your thoughts.

[1]https://theconversation.com/why-do-false-claims-that-vaccines-cause-autism-refuse-to-die-here-are-nine-reasons-246360?

#autism #vaccines #science #medicine #evidence #conspiracy #reason #emotion